NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CMU EMU
Points 69.7 63.5
Total Points   133.1
Points From 2-Pointers 39.0 35.5
Points From 3-Pointers 19.3 18.1
Points From Free Throws 11.4 9.9
Shooting CMU EMU
Field Goals Made 25.9 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 61.7
Field Goal % 43.4% 38.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 39.9
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 44.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 28.7% 27.7%
Free Throws Made 11.4 9.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 14.9
Free Throw % 67.1% 66.6%
Ball Control CMU EMU
Rebounds 39.9 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 28.9 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 11.4
Turnovers 9.2 9.2
Blocked Shots 3.9 2.8
Steals 5.4 4.8
Fouls 12.3 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Central Mich

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CMU EMU
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 70.7
% of Possessions with CMU EMU
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 26.7%
Player Fouled 19.8% 17.9%
Turnover 13.5% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CMU EMU
Shot Blocked 4.7% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 30.0% 28.3%