NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CMU UIC
Points 62.9 70.0
Total Points   132.8
Points From 2-Pointers 34.2 30.9
Points From 3-Pointers 15.5 27.9
Points From Free Throws 13.1 11.2
Shooting CMU UIC
Field Goals Made 22.3 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 61.5
Field Goal % 37.7% 40.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 15.4
2 Pointers Attempted 40.5 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 42.2% 45.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.5 27.9
3 Point Shooting % 28.0% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 13.1 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 16.3
Free Throw % 67.1% 68.8%
Ball Control CMU UIC
Rebounds 39.5 39.4
Rebounds - Defensive 29.4 29.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 9.8
Turnovers 11.1 10.0
Blocked Shots 4.4 5.8
Steals 5.3 5.4
Fouls 12.5 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Central Mich

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CMU UIC
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 71.1
% of Possessions with CMU UIC
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.1% 33.7%
Player Fouled 20.7% 17.6%
Turnover 15.6% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CMU UIC
Shot Blocked 9.6% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 24.9%