NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CMU YSU
Points 65.0 73.9
Total Points   138.9
Points From 2-Pointers 33.9 33.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.5 26.4
Points From Free Throws 11.6 14.0
Shooting CMU YSU
Field Goals Made 23.4 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 61.6 67.4
Field Goal % 38.0% 38.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 42.3% 46.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 30.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 28.5%
Free Throws Made 11.6 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 18.6
Free Throw % 67.1% 75.3%
Ball Control CMU YSU
Rebounds 38.9 45.9
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 30.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 15.5
Turnovers 10.3 8.1
Blocked Shots 3.6 5.3
Steals 4.4 5.1
Fouls 13.8 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Youngs St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CMU YSU
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 71.6 78.9
% of Possessions with CMU YSU
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 34.9%
Player Fouled 19.8% 19.3%
Turnover 14.4% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CMU YSU
Shot Blocked 7.9% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 35.3%