NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CMU M-OH
Points 63.1 66.1
Total Points   129.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.4 28.6
Points From 3-Pointers 17.5 25.3
Points From Free Throws 11.3 12.2
Shooting CMU M-OH
Field Goals Made 23.0 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 58.3
Field Goal % 39.4% 39.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 14.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 32.7
2 Point Shooting % 46.6% 43.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 25.6
3 Point Shooting % 27.1% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 11.3 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 17.1
Free Throw % 67.1% 71.5%
Ball Control CMU M-OH
Rebounds 40.2 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 29.2 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 8.7
Turnovers 11.0 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.2
Steals 5.4 5.4
Fouls 14.7 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Central Mich

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CMU M-OH
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 68.3
% of Possessions with CMU M-OH
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 32.3%
Player Fouled 20.0% 21.2%
Turnover 15.9% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CMU M-OH
Shot Blocked 5.6% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 22.9%