NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CMU AKR
Points 61.9 69.4
Total Points   131.3
Points From 2-Pointers 35.7 32.2
Points From 3-Pointers 15.9 23.1
Points From Free Throws 10.4 14.0
Shooting CMU AKR
Field Goals Made 23.1 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 58.8
Field Goal % 39.7% 40.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.0% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.3 26.9
3 Point Shooting % 26.1% 28.7%
Free Throws Made 10.4 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 19.2
Free Throw % 67.1% 72.9%
Ball Control CMU AKR
Rebounds 35.7 39.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 11.3
Turnovers 9.8 8.9
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.4
Steals 4.5 4.4
Fouls 14.8 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Central Mich

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CMU AKR
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 70.7
% of Possessions with CMU AKR
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 39.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 33.3%
Player Fouled 21.0% 21.7%
Turnover 14.4% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CMU AKR
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 30.0%