NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NICH CARK
Points 79.2 71.1
Total Points   150.3
Points From 2-Pointers 30.4 32.5
Points From 3-Pointers 31.8 23.1
Points From Free Throws 17.0 15.5
Shooting NICH CARK
Field Goals Made 25.8 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 58.5
Field Goal % 44.8% 40.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 32.3 35.2
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 46.2%
3 Pointers Made 10.6 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 25.3 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 42.0% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 17.0 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 23.5 20.6
Free Throw % 72.4% 75.3%
Ball Control NICH CARK
Rebounds 36.7 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 9.9
Turnovers 10.7 11.6
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.8
Steals 7.8 6.7
Fouls 15.5 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Nicholls

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NICH CARK
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 71.6 71.3
% of Possessions with NICH CARK
2 Point Attempt 38.5% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 27.7%
Player Fouled 21.7% 21.3%
Turnover 14.6% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 10.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NICH CARK
Shot Blocked 6.6% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 26.5%