NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NICH SCU
Points 68.8 82.1
Total Points   150.8
Points From 2-Pointers 30.4 42.2
Points From 3-Pointers 21.6 23.4
Points From Free Throws 16.8 16.5
Shooting NICH SCU
Field Goals Made 22.4 28.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 59.1
Field Goal % 39.6% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 21.1
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 43.9% 59.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 16.8 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 23.7
Free Throw % 72.4% 69.6%
Ball Control NICH SCU
Rebounds 29.6 42.4
Rebounds - Defensive 21.8 29.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 12.6
Turnovers 10.0 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.5
Steals 6.4 4.9
Fouls 17.7 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Nicholls

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NICH SCU
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 74.2
% of Possessions with NICH SCU
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 41.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 27.1%
Player Fouled 22.7% 24.3%
Turnover 13.8% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken NICH SCU
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 20.6% 36.5%