NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NICH IW
Points 80.9 70.3
Total Points   151.1
Points From 2-Pointers 34.4 32.2
Points From 3-Pointers 27.6 20.5
Points From Free Throws 18.9 17.5
Shooting NICH IW
Field Goals Made 26.4 23.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 56.7
Field Goal % 46.1% 40.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 35.4 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 47.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 42.1% 30.5%
Free Throws Made 18.9 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 26.1 24.4
Free Throw % 72.4% 71.7%
Ball Control NICH IW
Rebounds 35.4 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 10.9
Turnovers 10.2 13.1
Blocked Shots 4.1 4.0
Steals 7.8 5.7
Fouls 16.9 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Incar Word

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NICH IW
Total Possessions 74.0
Effective Scoring Chances 72.6 71.8
% of Possessions with NICH IW
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 39.6%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 25.9%
Player Fouled 22.9% 22.9%
Turnover 13.8% 17.7%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NICH IW
Shot Blocked 7.3% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 29.2%