NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NICH MCNS
Points 67.0 79.4
Total Points   146.4
Points From 2-Pointers 22.6 38.9
Points From 3-Pointers 29.8 21.3
Points From Free Throws 14.5 19.2
Shooting NICH MCNS
Field Goals Made 21.3 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 51.0 56.0
Field Goal % 41.7% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 11.3 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 24.2 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 46.7% 52.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.9 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 26.8 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 14.5 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 27.8
Free Throw % 72.4% 69.1%
Ball Control NICH MCNS
Rebounds 31.8 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 11.0
Turnovers 15.0 8.3
Blocked Shots 3.0 4.0
Steals 4.5 9.3
Fouls 18.1 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Nicholls

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NICH MCNS
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 63.4 72.8
% of Possessions with NICH MCNS
2 Point Attempt 30.3% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 33.4% 23.4%
Player Fouled 23.4% 25.8%
Turnover 21.4% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 13.3% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken NICH MCNS
Shot Blocked 7.3% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 31.9%