NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EKY MORE
Points 67.0 75.4
Total Points   142.4
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 35.1
Points From 3-Pointers 17.4 27.6
Points From Free Throws 12.9 12.7
Shooting EKY MORE
Field Goals Made 24.1 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.2 62.3
Field Goal % 40.1% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 43.0 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 42.7% 45.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 17.3 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 38.8%
Free Throws Made 12.9 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 17.3
Free Throw % 69.3% 73.2%
Ball Control EKY MORE
Rebounds 35.9 40.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 12.4
Turnovers 8.6 9.1
Blocked Shots 4.7 3.6
Steals 4.7 5.2
Fouls 12.9 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Morehead St

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EKY MORE
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.4 72.6
% of Possessions with EKY MORE
2 Point Attempt 52.8% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 21.2% 28.5%
Player Fouled 20.0% 18.6%
Turnover 12.4% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken EKY MORE
Shot Blocked 6.0% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 33.1%