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Nicholls at Illinois
Tue Nov 5, 2019
8:00pm ET
Champaign, IL
Nicholls at Illinois: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Illinois by 22.5, Total Points: 152
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NICH | adv | ILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 20-11-0 | 21-14-3 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-7-0 | 13-9-1 | |
| Streak | W5 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 6-3-0 | 7-9-2 | |
| Away | 14-8-0 | 14-5-1 |
Nicholls Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Tulane | +13.0 | L by 10 | +3.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | LSU | +19.5 | W by 2 | +21.5 |
| 11/15 | Neutral | Denver | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 11/16 | Away | S Alabama | +7.5 | W by 5 | +12.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | SIU Edward | +5.5 | L by 9 | -3.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Blue Mountain College | -- | W by 30 | -- |
| 11/24 | Away | Miss State | +23.0 | L by 13 | +10.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Baylor | +26.5 | L by 38 | -11.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | LA Tech | +13.5 | L by 13 | +0.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Elizabeth City St. | -- | W by 14 | -- |
| 12/19 | Away | Maryland | +19.5 | L by 6 | +13.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | Towson | +9.0 | L by 10 | -1.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Mobile | -- | W by 9 | -- |
| 01/06 | Away | Hsn Christian | -6.0 | W by 4 | -2.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | SE Louisiana | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Lamar | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | New Orleans | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | TX A&M-CC | +5.5 | L by 10 | -4.5 |
| 01/22 | Away | Incar Word | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | TX A&M-Com | +2.0 | W by 3 | +5.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Hsn Christian | -9.0 | W by 10 | +1.0 |
| 02/05 | Home | NW State | -6.0 | W by 7 | +1.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Lamar | +5.5 | L by 19 | -13.5 |
| 02/12 | Home | TX A&M-CC | +3.0 | W by 4 | +7.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | McNeese St | +14.0 | L by 27 | -13.0 |
| 02/19 | Away | New Orleans | -1.5 | W by 12 | +10.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | TX A&M-Com | -9.0 | W by 15 | +6.0 |
| 02/26 | Home | Incar Word | -9.5 | W by 10 | +0.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | McNeese St | +18.0 | L by 21 | -3.0 |
| 03/04 | Away | NW State | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 03/07 | Away | SE Louisiana | +3.5 | W by 26 | +29.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | TX A&M-Com | -6.0 | W by 21 | +15.0 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | TX A&M-CC | +4.5 | W by 8 | +12.5 |
| 03/13 | Away | McNeese St | +16.5 | L by 16 | +0.5 |
Illinois Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | E Illinois | -29.5 | W by 28 | -1.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Oakland | -24.5 | W by 11 | -13.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Marquette | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Valparaiso | -29.5 | W by 23 | -6.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Southern | -25.0 | W by 28 | +3.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | W Illinois | -27.0 | W by 32 | +5.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Rutgers | +1.5 | W by 18 | +19.5 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +2.5 | W by 9 | +11.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Tennessee | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Colgate | -17.0 | W by 17 | 0.0 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | Missouri | -6.5 | W by 24 | +17.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | F Dickinson | -25.5 | W by 33 | +7.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Northwestern | -5.5 | W by 30 | +24.5 |
| 01/05 | Away | Purdue | +10.5 | L by 5 | +5.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | Michigan St | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Maryland | -9.0 | L by 9 | -18.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Michigan | -2.5 | W by 15 | +12.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Rutgers | -11.0 | W by 23 | +12.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Northwestern | -4.0 | L by 5 | -9.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Indiana | -15.0 | W by 8 | -7.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 02/04 | Home | Nebraska | -10.0 | W by 3 | -7.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Michigan St | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Michigan | -15.5 | W by 29 | +13.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Maryland | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Penn St | -7.5 | L by 1 | -8.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Iowa | -9.5 | W by 10 | +0.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Minnesota | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Wisconsin | +3.0 | W by 8 | +11.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Purdue | -2.5 | L by 6 | -8.5 |
| 03/10 | Away | Iowa | -2.0 | W by 12 | +10.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Ohio St | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Nebraska | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Morehead St | -11.0 | W by 16 | +5.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Duquesne | -10.0 | W by 26 | +16.0 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Iowa St | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Connecticut | +8.0 | L by 25 | -17.0 |
| ILL -22.5 | Open | -22.5 | High | -23.5 |
| Last | -21.5 | Low | -21.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 280 games where the closing line favored the home team by 21.5 to 23.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Illinois won the game 276 times (98.6%).
- The team like Nicholls State won the game 4 times (1.4%).
- The team like Nicholls State did better against the spread, going 155-119-6 (56.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2488 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Illinois did better against the spread, going 1252-1191-45 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -22.5 | -21.5 | -- |
| Open | -23.0 | -23.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/05 05:14 PM | -- | -21.5 | -- |
| 11/05 04:35 PM | -22.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 04:26 PM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 03:14 PM | -- | -22.5 | -- |
| 11/05 02:49 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 02:17 PM | -22.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 01:44 PM | -- | -23.0 | -- |
| 11/05 12:24 PM | -- | -23.0 | -- |
| 11/05 12:08 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 11:44 AM | -- | -23.0 | -- |
| 11/05 11:35 AM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
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