NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NICH SMC
Points 58.2 81.5
Total Points   139.7
Points From 2-Pointers 27.1 43.7
Points From 3-Pointers 17.0 23.0
Points From Free Throws 14.1 14.8
Shooting NICH SMC
Field Goals Made 19.2 29.5
Field Goals Attempted 51.6 58.6
Field Goal % 37.3% 50.4%
2 Pointers Made 13.6 21.9
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 38.1% 59.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 16.0 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 14.1 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 22.0
Free Throw % 72.4% 67.1%
Ball Control NICH SMC
Rebounds 25.3 42.8
Rebounds - Defensive 20.0 29.5
Rebounds - Offensive 5.3 13.3
Turnovers 11.1 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.6 5.1
Steals 5.2 7.1
Fouls 15.8 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Nicholls

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NICH SMC
Total Possessions 68.1
Effective Scoring Chances 62.3 72.6
% of Possessions with NICH SMC
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.2% 26.6%
Player Fouled 22.6% 23.2%
Turnover 16.3% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NICH SMC
Shot Blocked 8.8% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 15.2% 39.9%