NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EKY STET
Points 77.5 75.0
Total Points   152.4
Points From 2-Pointers 43.5 34.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.5 25.3
Points From Free Throws 11.4 14.8
Shooting EKY STET
Field Goals Made 29.3 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 65.7 61.5
Field Goal % 44.5% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.7 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 45.5 39.7
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 43.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 38.7%
Free Throws Made 11.4 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 19.7
Free Throw % 69.3% 75.1%
Ball Control EKY STET
Rebounds 41.3 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 13.5 10.2
Turnovers 7.7 7.7
Blocked Shots 4.6 2.6
Steals 4.3 4.6
Fouls 14.5 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: Stetson

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EKY STET
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 76.1 72.7
% of Possessions with EKY STET
2 Point Attempt 53.7% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 23.8% 26.5%
Player Fouled 18.0% 20.7%
Turnover 10.9% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken EKY STET
Shot Blocked 4.3% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 34.5% 26.9%