NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EKY WKU
Points 77.4 77.5
Total Points   154.9
Points From 2-Pointers 38.5 42.2
Points From 3-Pointers 24.8 20.0
Points From Free Throws 14.0 15.3
Shooting EKY WKU
Field Goals Made 27.5 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 63.2 67.7
Field Goal % 43.6% 41.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 21.1
2 Pointers Attempted 40.3 49.2
2 Point Shooting % 47.8% 42.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.0 18.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 14.0 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 21.1
Free Throw % 69.3% 72.7%
Ball Control EKY WKU
Rebounds 40.5 40.9
Rebounds - Defensive 30.1 28.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 12.2
Turnovers 11.2 9.5
Blocked Shots 7.4 2.8
Steals 4.9 6.9
Fouls 14.9 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: E Kentucky

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EKY WKU
Total Possessions 76.6
Effective Scoring Chances 75.8 79.2
% of Possessions with EKY WKU
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 53.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 20.2%
Player Fouled 19.6% 19.5%
Turnover 14.7% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken EKY WKU
Shot Blocked 4.3% 11.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 28.8%