NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EKY UNF
Points 76.9 76.3
Total Points   153.1
Points From 2-Pointers 44.5 29.5
Points From 3-Pointers 17.9 33.7
Points From Free Throws 14.5 13.0
Shooting EKY UNF
Field Goals Made 28.2 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 64.0 62.5
Field Goal % 44.1% 41.6%
2 Pointers Made 22.2 14.8
2 Pointers Attempted 47.5 33.7
2 Point Shooting % 46.8% 43.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 16.5 28.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 39.1%
Free Throws Made 14.5 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 16.9
Free Throw % 69.3% 77.2%
Ball Control EKY UNF
Rebounds 42.7 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 29.3 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 8.8
Turnovers 8.3 8.6
Blocked Shots 4.7 3.2
Steals 5.0 4.7
Fouls 12.8 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: N Florida

Expected Effect: +1.0 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EKY UNF
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 76.9 71.9
% of Possessions with EKY UNF
2 Point Attempt 55.0% 40.9%
3 Point Attempt 19.1% 34.9%
Player Fouled 19.1% 17.8%
Turnover 11.6% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken EKY UNF
Shot Blocked 5.2% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 34.0% 23.0%