NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EKY EIU
Points 77.4 64.5
Total Points   141.8
Points From 2-Pointers 40.7 35.2
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 16.5
Points From Free Throws 14.8 12.8
Shooting EKY EIU
Field Goals Made 27.6 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 65.9
Field Goal % 48.6% 35.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 49.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 35.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 16.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.8% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 14.8 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 17.3
Free Throw % 69.3% 73.7%
Ball Control EKY EIU
Rebounds 42.5 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 32.2 22.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 12.0
Turnovers 10.7 7.7
Blocked Shots 7.0 2.8
Steals 4.0 6.6
Fouls 12.3 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: E Kentucky

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EKY EIU
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 75.0
% of Possessions with EKY EIU
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 58.1%
3 Point Attempt 22.9% 19.0%
Player Fouled 22.2% 17.4%
Turnover 15.2% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken EKY EIU
Shot Blocked 4.4% 12.5%
Offensive Rebound 31.0% 27.1%