NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NICH UNI
Points 68.1 77.6
Total Points   145.7
Points From 2-Pointers 29.7 37.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.9 20.5
Points From Free Throws 13.4 19.7
Shooting NICH UNI
Field Goals Made 23.2 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 54.5 53.5
Field Goal % 42.5% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 32.1 33.0
2 Point Shooting % 46.3% 56.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 13.4 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 27.8
Free Throw % 72.4% 70.8%
Ball Control NICH UNI
Rebounds 31.6 35.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 8.0
Turnovers 12.0 8.8
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.2
Steals 5.9 6.9
Fouls 18.6 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Nicholls

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NICH UNI
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.7 70.0
% of Possessions with NICH UNI
2 Point Attempt 40.7% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.4% 25.6%
Player Fouled 21.5% 26.3%
Turnover 16.9% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NICH UNI
Shot Blocked 6.1% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 20.2% 24.5%