NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NICH NORL
Points 80.1 71.5
Total Points   151.6
Points From 2-Pointers 39.6 37.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.3 14.1
Points From Free Throws 18.2 19.6
Shooting NICH NORL
Field Goals Made 27.2 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 57.8
Field Goal % 48.3% 40.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 41.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 46.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 4.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 16.6
3 Point Shooting % 39.9% 28.2%
Free Throws Made 18.2 19.6
Free Throws Attempted 25.1 27.7
Free Throw % 72.4% 70.6%
Ball Control NICH NORL
Rebounds 38.5 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 28.4 22.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 10.3
Turnovers 12.7 10.3
Blocked Shots 4.1 4.0
Steals 5.8 7.1
Fouls 19.4 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NICH NORL
Total Possessions 74.3
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 74.3
% of Possessions with NICH NORL
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 21.6% 19.3%
Player Fouled 23.4% 26.2%
Turnover 17.1% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken NICH NORL
Shot Blocked 7.1% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 30.8% 26.6%