NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NICH URI
Points 76.2 78.1
Total Points   154.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.7 39.4
Points From 3-Pointers 26.9 20.1
Points From Free Throws 14.5 18.6
Shooting NICH URI
Field Goals Made 26.3 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 54.2
Field Goal % 44.3% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 56.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 14.5 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 28.1
Free Throw % 72.4% 66.1%
Ball Control NICH URI
Rebounds 32.1 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 9.7
Turnovers 9.1 10.7
Blocked Shots 4.6 3.2
Steals 6.5 4.8
Fouls 18.5 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Nicholls

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NICH URI
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 71.4 70.8
% of Possessions with NICH URI
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 23.4%
Player Fouled 21.2% 25.8%
Turnover 12.7% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken NICH URI
Shot Blocked 6.0% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 29.4%