NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EKY SCUS
Points 76.5 68.1
Total Points   144.6
Points From 2-Pointers 39.8 34.5
Points From 3-Pointers 19.7 21.9
Points From Free Throws 17.1 11.7
Shooting EKY SCUS
Field Goals Made 26.4 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 62.0
Field Goal % 44.8% 39.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 40.4 41.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 41.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 17.1 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 18.2
Free Throw % 69.3% 64.0%
Ball Control EKY SCUS
Rebounds 44.8 32.5
Rebounds - Defensive 31.1 23.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.7 9.3
Turnovers 10.5 8.9
Blocked Shots 6.0 2.9
Steals 4.8 6.1
Fouls 14.4 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: E Kentucky

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EKY SCUS
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 74.7 71.9
% of Possessions with EKY SCUS
2 Point Attempt 46.8% 49.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.5% 24.9%
Player Fouled 21.9% 20.2%
Turnover 14.7% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken EKY SCUS
Shot Blocked 4.9% 10.2%
Offensive Rebound 37.0% 22.9%