NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EKY SUU
Points 78.3 73.9
Total Points   152.2
Points From 2-Pointers 47.8 38.9
Points From 3-Pointers 17.8 18.8
Points From Free Throws 12.7 16.2
Shooting EKY SUU
Field Goals Made 29.8 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 65.5 64.3
Field Goal % 45.6% 40.0%
2 Pointers Made 23.9 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 49.3 44.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 43.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 16.2 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 31.8%
Free Throws Made 12.7 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 22.7
Free Throw % 69.3% 71.3%
Ball Control EKY SUU
Rebounds 43.1 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 29.7 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 13.3 11.8
Turnovers 9.7 8.4
Blocked Shots 5.9 2.7
Steals 4.8 5.5
Fouls 16.0 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: S Utah

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EKY SUU
Total Possessions 73.6
Effective Scoring Chances 77.2 77.0
% of Possessions with EKY SUU
2 Point Attempt 56.0% 50.8%
3 Point Attempt 18.4% 22.4%
Player Fouled 18.8% 21.7%
Turnover 13.2% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken EKY SUU
Shot Blocked 4.3% 9.1%
Offensive Rebound 34.4% 28.4%