NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NICH USD
Points 73.5 76.0
Total Points   149.5
Points From 2-Pointers 30.2 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 24.5 20.9
Points From Free Throws 18.8 17.6
Shooting NICH USD
Field Goals Made 23.3 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 54.5 57.3
Field Goal % 42.7% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 32.1 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.0% 50.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 18.8 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 26.0 24.4
Free Throw % 72.4% 72.1%
Ball Control NICH USD
Rebounds 34.1 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 10.1
Turnovers 13.0 11.9
Blocked Shots 3.5 4.6
Steals 7.5 7.6
Fouls 16.6 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: San Diego

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NICH USD
Total Possessions 74.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 72.3
% of Possessions with NICH USD
2 Point Attempt 37.8% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 23.8%
Player Fouled 23.4% 22.5%
Turnover 17.5% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken NICH USD
Shot Blocked 8.2% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 28.7%