NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EKY TENN
Points 61.3 85.0
Total Points   146.3
Points From 2-Pointers 27.7 39.9
Points From 3-Pointers 20.4 26.9
Points From Free Throws 13.1 18.2
Shooting EKY TENN
Field Goals Made 20.7 28.9
Field Goals Attempted 60.2 66.1
Field Goal % 34.4% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made 13.9 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 43.1
2 Point Shooting % 35.8% 46.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 23.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 39.0%
Free Throws Made 13.1 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 24.1
Free Throw % 69.3% 75.4%
Ball Control EKY TENN
Rebounds 35.9 46.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 31.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 15.3
Turnovers 11.7 7.0
Blocked Shots 3.2 4.7
Steals 4.1 7.4
Fouls 15.7 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Tennessee

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EKY TENN
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 71.6 80.7
% of Possessions with EKY TENN
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.1% 25.8%
Player Fouled 18.8% 21.6%
Turnover 16.1% 9.7%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken EKY TENN
Shot Blocked 7.2% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 38.0%