NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GW CHAR
Points 69.6 72.7
Total Points   142.3
Points From 2-Pointers 32.8 37.9
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 21.8
Points From Free Throws 13.7 13.0
Shooting GW CHAR
Field Goals Made 24.1 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 59.3
Field Goal % 42.8% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 23.0 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 13.7 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 17.3
Free Throw % 75.4% 75.2%
Ball Control GW CHAR
Rebounds 34.6 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 8.6
Turnovers 9.3 7.6
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.6
Steals 4.9 5.1
Fouls 13.4 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Geo Wshgtn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GW CHAR
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 67.0 69.4
% of Possessions with GW CHAR
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 28.2%
Player Fouled 19.0% 19.7%
Turnover 13.6% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken GW CHAR
Shot Blocked 6.2% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 24.5%