NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RMU CMU
Points 68.7 69.7
Total Points   138.4
Points From 2-Pointers 30.0 38.1
Points From 3-Pointers 27.2 18.2
Points From Free Throws 11.4 13.3
Shooting RMU CMU
Field Goals Made 24.1 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 64.6 58.9
Field Goal % 37.3% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 34.3 38.9
2 Point Shooting % 43.7% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 30.2 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 30.4%
Free Throws Made 11.4 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 19.8
Free Throw % 69.8% 67.1%
Ball Control RMU CMU
Rebounds 42.4 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 15.5 10.4
Turnovers 10.2 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.4
Steals 4.2 5.1
Fouls 14.9 12.1

Playing Style Advantage: Rob Morris

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RMU CMU
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 75.4 71.0
% of Possessions with RMU CMU
2 Point Attempt 39.5% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 34.8% 24.5%
Player Fouled 17.3% 21.2%
Turnover 14.6% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken RMU CMU
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 36.2% 27.9%