NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GW RAD
Points 77.1 73.0
Total Points   150.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.0 39.1
Points From 3-Pointers 28.9 24.3
Points From Free Throws 14.1 9.6
Shooting GW RAD
Field Goals Made 26.6 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 65.8
Field Goal % 44.6% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 32.1 43.6
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 44.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 27.6 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 14.1 9.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 13.0
Free Throw % 75.4% 73.7%
Ball Control GW RAD
Rebounds 37.7 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 11.5
Turnovers 9.0 8.1
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.7
Steals 4.2 4.8
Fouls 11.1 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Radford

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GW RAD
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 73.6
% of Possessions with GW RAD
2 Point Attempt 39.5% 52.5%
3 Point Attempt 33.9% 26.7%
Player Fouled 19.1% 15.8%
Turnover 12.8% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken GW RAD
Shot Blocked 5.7% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 29.0%