NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RMU PFW
Points 68.7 78.3
Total Points   147.0
Points From 2-Pointers 32.4 38.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.8 26.1
Points From Free Throws 11.5 13.8
Shooting RMU PFW
Field Goals Made 24.4 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 60.2
Field Goal % 42.9% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 32.4 36.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 11.5 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 19.2
Free Throw % 69.8% 71.8%
Ball Control RMU PFW
Rebounds 38.2 32.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 7.4
Turnovers 15.3 8.9
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.7
Steals 4.1 8.2
Fouls 15.1 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: IPFW

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RMU PFW
Total Possessions 73.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 71.7
% of Possessions with RMU PFW
2 Point Attempt 38.3% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 29.1%
Player Fouled 18.1% 20.6%
Turnover 20.9% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 11.1% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken RMU PFW
Shot Blocked 4.5% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 20.9%