NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RMU MILW
Points 76.3 82.1
Total Points   158.5
Points From 2-Pointers 34.4 42.7
Points From 3-Pointers 28.9 20.6
Points From Free Throws 13.0 18.8
Shooting RMU MILW
Field Goals Made 26.8 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 65.7 60.8
Field Goal % 40.8% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 21.4
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 39.5
2 Point Shooting % 46.3% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 28.6 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 13.0 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 25.5
Free Throw % 69.8% 73.5%
Ball Control RMU MILW
Rebounds 38.1 39.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 14.5 12.6
Turnovers 10.5 9.9
Blocked Shots 4.0 3.6
Steals 4.5 5.0
Fouls 16.8 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Rob Morris

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RMU MILW
Total Possessions 73.6
Effective Scoring Chances 77.7 76.3
% of Possessions with RMU MILW
2 Point Attempt 41.5% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 31.9% 24.2%
Player Fouled 19.0% 22.8%
Turnover 14.2% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken RMU MILW
Shot Blocked 6.1% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 34.8% 34.8%