NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GW GMU
Points 68.7 75.2
Total Points   143.9
Points From 2-Pointers 26.8 38.6
Points From 3-Pointers 28.1 23.9
Points From Free Throws 13.7 12.7
Shooting GW GMU
Field Goals Made 22.8 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 60.7
Field Goal % 40.8% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 13.4 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 29.8 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 45.0% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 26.0 22.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 13.7 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 17.2
Free Throw % 75.4% 74.1%
Ball Control GW GMU
Rebounds 32.8 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 10.6
Turnovers 10.3 8.9
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.5
Steals 5.4 5.4
Fouls 13.7 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Geo Wshgtn

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GW GMU
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.7 70.8
% of Possessions with GW GMU
2 Point Attempt 38.0% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 33.2% 27.4%
Player Fouled 19.8% 19.8%
Turnover 14.9% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken GW GMU
Shot Blocked 5.9% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 29.9%