NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RMU WIGB
Points 70.6 74.4
Total Points   145.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.7 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.6 26.0
Points From Free Throws 12.3 14.0
Shooting RMU WIGB
Field Goals Made 25.4 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 55.1
Field Goal % 42.9% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 30.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 56.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 12.3 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 19.6
Free Throw % 69.8% 71.5%
Ball Control RMU WIGB
Rebounds 35.8 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 7.8
Turnovers 9.3 9.8
Blocked Shots 3.8 1.7
Steals 4.3 4.1
Fouls 15.7 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: WI-Grn Bay

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RMU WIGB
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 66.5
% of Possessions with RMU WIGB
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 38.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 31.9%
Player Fouled 20.2% 22.9%
Turnover 13.6% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken RMU WIGB
Shot Blocked 3.1% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 31.2% 24.3%