NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RMU EVAN
Points 68.9 73.6
Total Points   142.5
Points From 2-Pointers 29.5 39.2
Points From 3-Pointers 28.8 20.3
Points From Free Throws 10.6 14.0
Shooting RMU EVAN
Field Goals Made 24.3 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 56.3
Field Goal % 40.4% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 14.7 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 32.1 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 46.0% 52.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 28.2 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 10.6 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.2 20.0
Free Throw % 69.8% 69.9%
Ball Control RMU EVAN
Rebounds 37.8 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 7.3
Turnovers 12.2 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.6
Steals 5.0 6.2
Fouls 15.9 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: Rob Morris

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RMU EVAN
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 68.3
% of Possessions with RMU EVAN
2 Point Attempt 38.3% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 33.7% 23.9%
Player Fouled 17.5% 22.4%
Turnover 17.2% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken RMU EVAN
Shot Blocked 4.6% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 30.8% 22.0%