NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GW URI
Points 81.3 77.4
Total Points   158.7
Points From 2-Pointers 36.6 40.9
Points From 3-Pointers 29.9 23.8
Points From Free Throws 14.8 12.8
Shooting GW URI
Field Goals Made 28.3 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.9 62.9
Field Goal % 46.4% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 41.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 49.6%
3 Pointers Made 10.0 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 26.7 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 14.8 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 19.3
Free Throw % 75.4% 66.1%
Ball Control GW URI
Rebounds 35.3 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 10.5
Turnovers 8.4 9.3
Blocked Shots 5.4 3.1
Steals 5.7 4.4
Fouls 14.2 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Rhode Island

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GW URI
Total Possessions 72.7
Effective Scoring Chances 72.4 73.8
% of Possessions with GW URI
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 32.6% 25.4%
Player Fouled 19.3% 19.5%
Turnover 11.5% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken GW URI
Shot Blocked 5.1% 9.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 27.7%