NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GW FOR
Points 73.8 74.9
Total Points   148.7
Points From 2-Pointers 32.8 35.1
Points From 3-Pointers 21.5 28.1
Points From Free Throws 19.5 11.7
Shooting GW FOR
Field Goals Made 23.6 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 53.1 68.1
Field Goal % 44.4% 39.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 39.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.9% 44.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 28.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 19.5 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 25.9 17.4
Free Throw % 75.4% 67.2%
Ball Control GW FOR
Rebounds 36.8 40.0
Rebounds - Defensive 30.1 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 14.0
Turnovers 12.7 8.8
Blocked Shots 3.7 6.0
Steals 4.9 7.5
Fouls 13.4 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Geo Wshgtn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GW FOR
Total Possessions 73.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 78.8
% of Possessions with GW FOR
2 Point Attempt 41.4% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.8% 31.8%
Player Fouled 22.9% 18.1%
Turnover 17.2% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken GW FOR
Shot Blocked 8.9% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 20.4% 31.7%