NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RMU LIU
Points 76.5 67.9
Total Points   144.4
Points From 2-Pointers 38.9 39.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.1 14.6
Points From Free Throws 15.5 14.0
Shooting RMU LIU
Field Goals Made 26.8 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 61.8 57.8
Field Goal % 43.5% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 42.1
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 46.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 4.9
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 15.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.4% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 15.5 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 20.9
Free Throw % 69.8% 66.9%
Ball Control RMU LIU
Rebounds 42.7 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 28.9 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 13.7 8.1
Turnovers 10.8 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.7
Steals 5.6 5.8
Fouls 15.1 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: LIU

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RMU LIU
Total Possessions 73.1
Effective Scoring Chances 76.1 70.2
% of Possessions with RMU LIU
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 51.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 18.9%
Player Fouled 20.8% 20.7%
Turnover 14.7% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken RMU LIU
Shot Blocked 4.7% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 35.4% 21.9%