NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RMU
Points 70.0 63.5
Total Points   133.6
Points From 2-Pointers 35.8 29.8
Points From 3-Pointers 22.5 20.4
Points From Free Throws 11.8 13.4
Shooting RMU
Field Goals Made 25.4 21.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 56.4
Field Goal % 43.3% 38.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 14.9
2 Pointers Attempted 40.2 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 44.5% 38.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 18.5 18.0
3 Point Shooting % 40.5% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 11.8 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 19.4
Free Throw % 69.8% 68.9%
Ball Control RMU
Rebounds 39.8 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 23.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 10.9
Turnovers 12.3 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.9
Steals 4.5 6.2
Fouls 15.3 12.7

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RMU
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 68.8
% of Possessions with RMU
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 22.2% 22.2%
Player Fouled 18.3% 22.0%
Turnover 17.7% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken RMU
Shot Blocked 7.0% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 35.2% 28.5%