NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RMU DETU
Points 76.9 70.4
Total Points   147.3
Points From 2-Pointers 36.9 38.2
Points From 3-Pointers 28.2 17.0
Points From Free Throws 11.7 15.2
Shooting RMU DETU
Field Goals Made 27.9 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.7 55.5
Field Goal % 45.9% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 26.2 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 29.4%
Free Throws Made 11.7 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 20.6
Free Throw % 69.8% 74.1%
Ball Control RMU DETU
Rebounds 39.4 30.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 21.8
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 8.1
Turnovers 12.1 10.7
Blocked Shots 2.7 1.9
Steals 4.2 6.7
Fouls 16.0 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RMU DETU
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 72.4 68.0
% of Possessions with RMU DETU
2 Point Attempt 40.4% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 24.2%
Player Fouled 19.1% 22.7%
Turnover 17.1% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken RMU DETU
Shot Blocked 3.5% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 39.0% 24.2%