NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VAN TAM
Points 70.3 82.2
Total Points   152.5
Points From 2-Pointers 33.6 39.5
Points From 3-Pointers 23.4 26.6
Points From Free Throws 13.2 16.1
Shooting VAN TAM
Field Goals Made 24.6 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 66.6
Field Goal % 41.9% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 31.0 39.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 27.8 26.9
3 Point Shooting % 28.1% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 13.2 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 22.6
Free Throw % 70.7% 71.3%
Ball Control VAN TAM
Rebounds 33.2 45.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 17.2
Turnovers 9.3 7.1
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.0
Steals 3.7 5.1
Fouls 14.6 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Texas A&M

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VAN TAM
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 80.4
% of Possessions with VAN TAM
2 Point Attempt 38.5% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 34.5% 30.2%
Player Fouled 21.5% 20.7%
Turnover 13.2% 10.0%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken VAN TAM
Shot Blocked 4.5% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 41.5%