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Vanderbilt at Alabama
Tue Jan 21, 2025
7:00pm ET
Tuscaloosa, AL
Vanderbilt at Alabama: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Alabama by 11.5, Total Points: 168.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | VAN | adv | ALA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-14-0 | 19-14-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-11-0 | 13-7-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 11-6-0 | 8-7-0 | |
| Away | 7-8-0 | 11-7-0 |
Vanderbilt Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04 | Home | Maryland ES | -31.0 | W by 39 | +8.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | SE Missouri St | -26.5 | W by 9 | -17.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | California | -7.0 | W by 16 | +9.0 |
| 11/16 | Home | Jackson St | -27.0 | W by 13 | -14.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Nevada | +2.5 | W by 2 | +4.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Seton Hall | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Drake | -4.5 | L by 11 | -15.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Tenn Tech | -23.5 | W by 31 | +7.5 |
| 12/04 | Away | Virginia Tech | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 12/08 | Neutral | TCU | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | The Citadel | -28.5 | W by 52 | +23.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Austin Peay | -24.5 | W by 30 | +5.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | New Orleans | -32.0 | W by 44 | +12.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | LSU | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Mississippi St | +2.5 | L by 12 | -9.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Missouri | +5.5 | L by 9 | -3.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | South Carolina | -9.0 | W by 3 | -6.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | Tennessee | +5.5 | W by 1 | +6.5 |
| 01/21 | Away | Alabama | +11.5 | L by 16 | -4.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Kentucky | +2.5 | W by 5 | +7.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | Oklahoma | +3.0 | L by 30 | -27.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | Florida | +10.0 | L by 11 | -1.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Texas | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/11 | Home | Auburn | +8.5 | L by 12 | -3.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Tennessee | +12.5 | L by 5 | +7.5 |
| 02/19 | Away | Kentucky | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Mississippi | -1.0 | W by 5 | +4.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | Texas A&M | +8.0 | W by 2 | +10.0 |
| 03/01 | Home | Missouri | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 03/04 | Home | Arkansas | -7.5 | L by 13 | -20.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Georgia | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Texas | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
Alabama Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04 | Home | NC Asheville | -27.5 | W by 56 | +28.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | Arkansas St | -25.5 | W by 9 | -16.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | McNeese | -17.5 | W by 8 | -9.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Purdue | -4.0 | L by 9 | -13.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Illinois | -8.5 | W by 13 | +4.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Houston | +4.0 | W by 5 | +9.0 |
| 11/27 | Neutral | Rutgers | -11.5 | W by 5 | -6.5 |
| 11/30 | Neutral | Oregon | -6.5 | L by 2 | -8.5 |
| 12/04 | Away | North Carolina | +1.5 | W by 15 | +16.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Creighton | -11.5 | W by 8 | -3.5 |
| 12/18 | Away | North Dakota | -25.0 | W by 7 | -18.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Kent St | -20.0 | W by 27 | +7.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | S Dakota St | -22.5 | W by 23 | +0.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Oklahoma | -13.0 | W by 28 | +15.0 |
| 01/08 | Away | South Carolina | -11.0 | W by 20 | +9.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Texas A&M | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Mississippi | -12.0 | L by 10 | -22.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Kentucky | +2.0 | W by 5 | +7.0 |
| 01/21 | Home | Vanderbilt | -11.5 | W by 16 | +4.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | LSU | -17.5 | W by 7 | -10.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Mississippi St | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | Georgia | -12.5 | W by 21 | +8.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Arkansas | -5.0 | W by 4 | -1.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Texas | -5.0 | W by 23 | +18.0 |
| 02/15 | Home | Auburn | -1.5 | L by 9 | -10.5 |
| 02/19 | Away | Missouri | +1.5 | L by 12 | -10.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Kentucky | -12.0 | W by 13 | +1.0 |
| 02/25 | Home | Mississippi St | -8.5 | W by 38 | +29.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Tennessee | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Florida | -3.5 | L by 5 | -8.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Auburn | +7.5 | W by 2 | +9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Kentucky | -8.5 | W by 29 | +20.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Florida | +3.0 | L by 22 | -19.0 |
| ALA -11.5 | Open | -12.0 | High | -12.5 |
| Last | -12.0 | Low | -11.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1835 games where the closing line favored the home team by 10.5 to 12.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Alabama won the game 1585 times (86.4%).
- The team like Vanderbilt won the game 250 times (13.6%).
- The team like Vanderbilt did better against the spread, going 913-897-25 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2021-2022 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4937 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Alabama did better against the spread, going 2433-2421-83 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| Open | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 01/21 06:53 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 05:22 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 03:59 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 03:16 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 02:08 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 12:50 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 11:56 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 11:23 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 09:53 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 09:35 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 08:07 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 01:37 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 10:13 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 09:43 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 07:19 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 05:10 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
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