NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VAN SCAR
Points 66.9 76.6
Total Points   143.5
Points From 2-Pointers 38.6 36.3
Points From 3-Pointers 15.6 28.8
Points From Free Throws 12.7 11.5
Shooting VAN SCAR
Field Goals Made 24.5 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 60.0
Field Goal % 42.0% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 39.8 33.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 26.1
3 Point Shooting % 27.9% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 12.7 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 16.3
Free Throw % 70.7% 70.6%
Ball Control VAN SCAR
Rebounds 33.3 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 10.5
Turnovers 7.7 8.5
Blocked Shots 3.9 2.8
Steals 4.8 3.5
Fouls 12.8 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Vanderbilt

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VAN SCAR
Total Possessions 67.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 69.6
% of Possessions with VAN SCAR
2 Point Attempt 51.0% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.9% 32.8%
Player Fouled 21.0% 18.8%
Turnover 11.4% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken VAN SCAR
Shot Blocked 4.8% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 30.2%