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Vanderbilt at Florida
Wed Jan 27, 2021
6:30pm ET
Gainesville, FL
Vanderbilt at Florida: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Florida by 12.5, Total Points: 145.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | VAN | adv | FLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-16-1 | 16-19-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-8-1 | 11-11-0 | |
| Streak | W3 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 8-10-0 | 7-8-0 | |
| Away | 7-6-1 | 9-11-1 |
Vanderbilt Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | Presbyterian | -16.5 | L by 6 | -22.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | SC Upstate | -11.5 | W by 7 | -4.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Central Ark | -19.5 | W by 4 | -15.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | NC State | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Arizona St | +1.5 | L by 15 | -13.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Boston Col | -2.5 | L by 18 | -20.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Alab A&M | -18.5 | W by 19 | +0.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | San Francisco | +2.5 | L by 13 | -10.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Texas Tech | +7.5 | L by 22 | -14.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | W Carolina | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | Memphis | +16.0 | L by 2 | +14.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Dartmouth | -13.5 | W by 16 | +2.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Alabama | +13.0 | L by 3 | +10.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | LSU | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Mississippi | +10.0 | L by 13 | -3.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Auburn | +11.0 | L by 15 | -4.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Miss State | +13.0 | L by 13 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Tennessee | +13.5 | L by 13 | +0.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Auburn | +18.5 | L by 27 | -8.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Missouri | +1.0 | W by 7 | +8.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Kentucky | +8.5 | L by 32 | -23.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | S Carolina | +11.5 | L by 15 | -3.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Texas A&M | +8.5 | W by 1 | +9.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Tennessee | +20.0 | L by 35 | -15.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Georgia | +1.0 | L by 12 | -11.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Florida | +15.0 | L by 13 | +2.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Arkansas | +10.5 | W by 3 | +13.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | LSU | +3.5 | L by 14 | -10.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Kentucky | +18.0 | L by 16 | +2.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Florida | +9.0 | W by 1 | +10.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Arkansas | +6.0 | L by 5 | +1.0 |
Florida Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Loyola-MD | -24.5 | W by 20 | -4.5 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Virginia | -1.0 | L by 3 | -4.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Florida A&M | -34.0 | W by 21 | -13.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Florida St | -8.5 | W by 21 | +12.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Pittsburgh | -5.0 | W by 15 | +10.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Baylor | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Wake Forest | -5.0 | L by 11 | -16.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Merrimack | -21.5 | W by 20 | -1.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Richmond | -11.0 | W by 11 | 0.0 |
| 12/14 | Neutral | E Carolina | -15.0 | W by 5 | -10.0 |
| 12/19 | Neutral | Michigan | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Grambling St | -26.5 | W by 39 | +12.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Quinnipiac | -21.5 | W by 25 | +3.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Kentucky | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Mississippi | -2.5 | L by 18 | -20.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Arkansas | -7.5 | W by 22 | +14.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Tennessee | +10.0 | L by 19 | -9.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Missouri | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Miss State | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Georgia | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Kentucky | +7.5 | W by 3 | +10.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Texas A&M | +4.0 | L by 1 | +3.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Auburn | +2.0 | W by 16 | +18.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | LSU | -11.0 | W by 2 | -9.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Georgia | -4.0 | W by 6 | +2.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Alabama | +10.0 | L by 5 | +5.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Vanderbilt | -15.0 | W by 13 | -2.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Missouri | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | S Carolina | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Alabama | -2.5 | W by 18 | +15.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Vanderbilt | -9.0 | L by 1 | -10.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Georgia | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Alabama | +4.5 | W by 14 | +18.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Texas A&M | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Auburn | +5.5 | L by 19 | -13.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Colorado | +1.5 | L by 2 | -0.5 |
| FLA -12.5 | Open | -13.5 | High | -13.5 |
| Last | -13.0 | Low | -12.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1482 games where the closing line favored the home team by 11.5 to 13.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Florida won the game 1323 times (89.3%).
- The team like Vanderbilt won the game 159 times (10.7%).
- The team like Vanderbilt did better against the spread, going 742-714-26 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 198 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Florida did better against the spread, going 103-95 (52.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -12.5 | -12.5 | -12.5 |
| Open | -13.5 | -13.5 | -13.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/27 06:29 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 05:50 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 05:20 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 04:35 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 04:08 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 03:38 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 03:14 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 02:23 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 01:59 PM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 12:24 PM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 01/27 10:05 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 09:54 AM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 01/27 09:44 AM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 01/27 09:38 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 09:35 AM | -- | -- | -12.5 |
| 01/27 04:43 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 03:34 AM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 01/27 02:44 AM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 01/27 12:14 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 11:05 PM | -- | -- | -13.0 |
| 01/26 10:24 PM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 01/26 10:14 PM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 08:08 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 07:02 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 05:44 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 01/26 05:23 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
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