NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VAN FLA
Points 72.7 87.5
Total Points   160.1
Points From 2-Pointers 39.3 44.0
Points From 3-Pointers 17.0 27.5
Points From Free Throws 16.4 16.0
Shooting VAN FLA
Field Goals Made 25.3 31.2
Field Goals Attempted 62.4 65.1
Field Goal % 40.6% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 22.0
2 Pointers Attempted 42.0 40.8
2 Point Shooting % 46.8% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 27.8% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 16.4 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 21.8
Free Throw % 70.7% 73.2%
Ball Control VAN FLA
Rebounds 33.5 44.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 30.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 13.5
Turnovers 8.6 9.2
Blocked Shots 2.9 4.3
Steals 5.8 4.9
Fouls 14.7 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Vanderbilt

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VAN FLA
Total Possessions 74.5
Effective Scoring Chances 75.8 78.8
% of Possessions with VAN FLA
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 27.2%
Player Fouled 21.5% 19.7%
Turnover 11.5% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken VAN FLA
Shot Blocked 6.7% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 36.3%