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Vanderbilt at LSU
Tue Mar 2, 2021
8:30pm ET
Baton Rouge, LA
Vanderbilt at LSU: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Louisiana State by 14.5, Total Points: 156
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | VAN | adv | LSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-16-1 | 13-20-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-8-1 | 8-11-0 | |
| Streak | W3 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 8-10-0 | 6-12-0 | |
| Away | 7-6-1 | 7-8-0 |
Vanderbilt Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | Presbyterian | -16.5 | L by 6 | -22.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | SC Upstate | -11.5 | W by 7 | -4.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Central Ark | -19.5 | W by 4 | -15.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | NC State | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Arizona St | +1.5 | L by 15 | -13.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Boston Col | -2.5 | L by 18 | -20.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Alab A&M | -18.5 | W by 19 | +0.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | San Francisco | +2.5 | L by 13 | -10.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Texas Tech | +7.5 | L by 22 | -14.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | W Carolina | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | Memphis | +16.0 | L by 2 | +14.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Dartmouth | -13.5 | W by 16 | +2.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Alabama | +13.0 | L by 3 | +10.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | LSU | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Mississippi | +10.0 | L by 13 | -3.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Auburn | +11.0 | L by 15 | -4.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Miss State | +13.0 | L by 13 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Tennessee | +13.5 | L by 13 | +0.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Auburn | +18.5 | L by 27 | -8.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Missouri | +1.0 | W by 7 | +8.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Kentucky | +8.5 | L by 32 | -23.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | S Carolina | +11.5 | L by 15 | -3.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Texas A&M | +8.5 | W by 1 | +9.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Tennessee | +20.0 | L by 35 | -15.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Georgia | +1.0 | L by 12 | -11.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Florida | +15.0 | L by 13 | +2.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Arkansas | +10.5 | W by 3 | +13.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | LSU | +3.5 | L by 14 | -10.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Kentucky | +18.0 | L by 16 | +2.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Florida | +9.0 | W by 1 | +10.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Arkansas | +6.0 | L by 5 | +1.0 |
LSU Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Miss Val St | -28.5 | W by 46 | +17.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Nicholls | -19.5 | L by 2 | -21.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Dayton | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | North Texas | -2.5 | W by 4 | +1.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Wake Forest | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | N Florida | -22.0 | W by 12 | -10.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Syracuse | +1.5 | L by 23 | -21.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | SE Louisiana | -16.0 | W by 7 | -9.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Kansas St | -3.0 | L by 15 | -18.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Alabama St | -21.5 | W by 18 | -3.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Texas | +7.0 | L by 11 | -4.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Lamar | -16.5 | W by 21 | +4.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | NW State | -25.0 | W by 41 | +16.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Texas A&M | +11.5 | W by 15 | +26.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Vanderbilt | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Auburn | +13.5 | L by 15 | -1.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Mississippi | -3.0 | W by 9 | +6.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Texas A&M | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Georgia | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Alabama | +12.5 | L by 21 | -8.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Arkansas | -5.0 | W by 21 | +16.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Tennessee | +14.0 | L by 20 | -6.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 17 | -8.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Florida | +11.0 | L by 2 | +9.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | S Carolina | +8.0 | W by 1 | +9.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Kentucky | +6.5 | W by 1 | +7.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Miss State | +3.5 | L by 20 | -16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Georgia | -5.5 | W by 1 | -4.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Vanderbilt | -3.5 | W by 14 | +10.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Arkansas | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Missouri | -7.0 | W by 4 | -3.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Miss State | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | North Texas | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| LSU -14.5 | Open | -11.5 | High | -14.5 |
| Last | -14.0 | Low | -11.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1191 games where the closing line favored the home team by 13.5 to 15.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Louisiana State won the game 1106 times (92.9%).
- The team like Vanderbilt won the game 85 times (7.1%).
- The team like Vanderbilt did better against the spread, going 587-583-21 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 54 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Louisiana State did better against the spread, going 35-19 (64.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 3.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -15.0 | -11.5 | -14.5 |
| Open | -11.5 | -11.5 | -11.5 |
| History | |||
| 03/02 08:15 PM | -- | -- | -14.5 |
| 03/02 08:11 PM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 07:23 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 07:14 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 06:23 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 06:20 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 05:50 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 05:02 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 04:59 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 04:02 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 03:29 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 02:50 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 12:25 PM | -- | -- | -14.0 |
| 03/02 12:17 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 12:15 PM | -- | -- | -13.0 |
| 03/02 11:03 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 09:56 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 09:26 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 09:08 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 03:02 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 12:25 AM | -- | -- | -12.0 |
| 03/02 12:15 AM | -- | -- | -11.5 |
| 03/01 10:35 PM | -- | -- | -11.5 |
| 03/01 10:00 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 03/01 05:20 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 04:50 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
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