NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VAN LSU
Points 70.0 79.1
Total Points   149.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.0 37.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.5 28.1
Points From Free Throws 14.5 14.0
Shooting VAN LSU
Field Goals Made 24.3 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 58.8
Field Goal % 40.7% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 27.7% 39.6%
Free Throws Made 14.5 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 19.1
Free Throw % 70.7% 73.3%
Ball Control VAN LSU
Rebounds 33.9 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 9.9
Turnovers 9.7 11.2
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.9
Steals 7.0 5.5
Fouls 13.2 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: LSU

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VAN LSU
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 72.3 70.5
% of Possessions with VAN LSU
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 28.5%
Player Fouled 20.4% 18.4%
Turnover 13.6% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken VAN LSU
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 29.6%