NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEB WIS
Points 76.6 76.7
Total Points   153.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.8 35.9
Points From 3-Pointers 26.9 27.1
Points From Free Throws 13.8 13.7
Shooting NEB WIS
Field Goals Made 26.9 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 54.5 61.1
Field Goal % 49.3% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 31.3 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 57.2% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.2 26.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.7% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 13.8 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 18.3
Free Throw % 76.0% 75.1%
Ball Control NEB WIS
Rebounds 31.5 35.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 6.0 11.1
Turnovers 10.4 8.6
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.1
Steals 4.5 6.0
Fouls 14.8 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Nebraska

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEB WIS
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 65.6 72.5
% of Possessions with NEB WIS
2 Point Attempt 40.8% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 31.8%
Player Fouled 20.6% 21.1%
Turnover 14.9% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEB WIS
Shot Blocked 3.4% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 19.9% 30.3%