NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEB WIS
Points 71.8 79.4
Total Points   151.2
Points From 2-Pointers 34.3 28.8
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 36.4
Points From Free Throws 13.4 14.2
Shooting NEB WIS
Field Goals Made 25.2 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 59.5 60.8
Field Goal % 42.3% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 14.4
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 26.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 55.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 12.1
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 34.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 13.4 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 17.3
Free Throw % 73.9% 82.2%
Ball Control NEB WIS
Rebounds 34.9 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 29.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 8.7
Turnovers 8.8 8.9
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.4
Steals 4.7 4.5
Fouls 15.1 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Nebraska

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEB WIS
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 71.2
% of Possessions with NEB WIS
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 32.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 42.6%
Player Fouled 20.9% 21.1%
Turnover 12.3% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEB WIS
Shot Blocked 4.0% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 24.4%