NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEB OSU
Points 73.4 74.0
Total Points   147.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.0 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 25.9 24.7
Points From Free Throws 13.5 13.5
Shooting NEB OSU
Field Goals Made 25.6 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 61.1 62.2
Field Goal % 42.0% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 13.5 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 18.0
Free Throw % 76.0% 75.2%
Ball Control NEB OSU
Rebounds 36.3 39.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 11.6
Turnovers 9.5 9.2
Blocked Shots 2.0 4.8
Steals 4.6 5.0
Fouls 14.2 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Nebraska

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEB OSU
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 73.7
% of Possessions with NEB OSU
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 29.6%
Player Fouled 19.6% 20.0%
Turnover 13.3% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEB OSU
Shot Blocked 7.8% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 30.1%