NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEB ILL
Points 78.1 83.8
Total Points   161.9
Points From 2-Pointers 41.0 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 23.9 30.2
Points From Free Throws 13.2 16.0
Shooting NEB ILL
Field Goals Made 28.5 28.9
Field Goals Attempted 63.5 65.1
Field Goal % 44.8% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 20.5 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 41.5 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 29.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 13.2 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 21.7
Free Throw % 76.0% 73.8%
Ball Control NEB ILL
Rebounds 33.5 43.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 14.3
Turnovers 7.8 8.2
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.9
Steals 4.5 4.2
Fouls 14.5 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Nebraska

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEB ILL
Total Possessions 72.8
Effective Scoring Chances 73.3 78.9
% of Possessions with NEB ILL
2 Point Attempt 50.1% 41.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.7% 33.1%
Player Fouled 17.5% 20.0%
Turnover 10.7% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEB ILL
Shot Blocked 6.0% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.6% 36.3%