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Nebraska at Iowa
Thu Mar 4, 2021
9:00pm ET
Iowa City, IA
Nebraska at Iowa: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Iowa by 17.5, Total Points: 155.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NEB | adv | IOWA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-13-0 | 13-20-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-8-0 | 7-13-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 15-4-0 | 7-10-1 | |
| Away | 6-9-0 | 6-10-0 |
Nebraska Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Lindenwood | -22.0 | W by 32 | +10.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Florida A&M | -26.5 | W by 27 | +0.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Rider | -14.5 | W by 14 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Stony Brook | -16.0 | W by 21 | +5.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Oregon St | -8.0 | W by 21 | +13.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Duquesne | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 11/26 | Home | CS Fullerton | -17.0 | W by 13 | -4.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Creighton | +4.0 | L by 29 | -25.0 |
| 12/06 | Away | Minnesota | -2.0 | L by 11 | -13.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Michigan St | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 12/17 | Away | Kansas St | +4.0 | W by 16 | +20.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | North Dakota | -17.0 | W by 8 | -9.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | S Car State | -26.0 | W by 29 | +3.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Indiana | -4.5 | W by 16 | +11.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Wisconsin | +5.5 | L by 16 | -10.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Purdue | +7.5 | W by 16 | +23.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Iowa | +4.5 | L by 18 | -13.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Rutgers | +3.0 | L by 5 | -2.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Northwestern | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Ohio St | -4.0 | W by 14 | +10.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Maryland | +5.0 | L by 22 | -17.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | Wisconsin | (Pick) | W by 8 | +8.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | Illinois | +10.0 | L by 3 | +7.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Northwestern | +6.5 | L by 12 | -5.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Michigan | -10.0 | W by 20 | +10.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Penn St | -8.0 | W by 19 | +11.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Indiana | +1.5 | W by 15 | +16.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 18 | +11.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | Ohio St | +2.5 | L by 9 | -6.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Rutgers | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Michigan | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Indiana | -5.5 | W by 27 | +21.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Illinois | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Texas A&M | +1.0 | L by 15 | -14.0 |
Iowa Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | North Dakota | -20.5 | W by 42 | +21.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Alabama St | -31.5 | W by 31 | -0.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Creighton | +12.0 | L by 8 | +4.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Arkansas St | -20.5 | W by 14 | -6.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Oklahoma | +1.5 | L by 12 | -10.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Seton Hall | -1.5 | W by 13 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | N Florida | -26.5 | W by 25 | -1.5 |
| 12/04 | Away | Purdue | +13.5 | L by 19 | -5.5 |
| 12/07 | Away | Iowa St | +8.0 | L by 25 | -17.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Michigan | -4.0 | L by 10 | -14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Florida A&M | -24.0 | W by 36 | +12.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Maryland BC | -27.5 | W by 22 | -5.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | N Illinois | -18.0 | W by 29 | +11.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Wisconsin | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Rutgers | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Nebraska | -4.5 | W by 18 | +13.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Minnesota | +3.0 | W by 9 | +12.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Purdue | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Maryland | -5.0 | L by 2 | -7.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Michigan | +1.5 | W by 10 | +11.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Indiana | +1.5 | L by 6 | -4.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | Ohio St | -6.0 | W by 2 | -4.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | Penn St | -1.0 | L by 10 | -11.0 |
| 02/11 | Home | Minnesota | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Maryland | +5.5 | L by 12 | -6.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Wisconsin | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Michigan St | +9.5 | W by 7 | +16.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Illinois | +9.5 | L by 10 | -0.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Penn St | -9.0 | W by 9 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Northwestern | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Illinois | +2.0 | L by 12 | -10.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Ohio St | +2.5 | L by 12 | -9.5 |
| 03/19 | Home | Kansas St | -5.5 | W by 9 | +3.5 |
| 03/24 | Away | Utah | +5.0 | L by 9 | -4.0 |
| IOWA -17.5 | Open | -17.0 | High | -17.5 |
| Last | -16.5 | Low | -16.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 747 games where the closing line favored the home team by 16.5 to 18.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Iowa won the game 709 times (94.9%).
- The team like Nebraska won the game 38 times (5.1%).
- The team like Nebraska did better against the spread, going 380-359-8 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 265 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Nebraska did better against the spread, going 142-116-7 (55.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.8 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -17.0 | -17.5 | -17.5 |
| Open | -16.5 | -16.5 | -16.5 |
| History | |||
| 03/04 08:56 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 08:47 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 06:44 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 06:02 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 05:11 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 04:26 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 03:17 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 02:50 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 01:56 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 12:47 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 11:14 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 11:04 AM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 03/04 10:59 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 10:34 AM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 03/04 10:17 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 09:54 AM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 03/04 09:50 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -17.5 |
| 03/04 01:38 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 11:14 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 10:45 PM | -- | -- | -16.5 |
| 03/03 05:23 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 04:54 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 03/03 04:41 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
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