NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEB IOWA
Points 83.9 80.0
Total Points   163.9
Points From 2-Pointers 37.4 41.2
Points From 3-Pointers 30.7 24.0
Points From Free Throws 15.8 14.7
Shooting NEB IOWA
Field Goals Made 28.9 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 61.3 64.0
Field Goal % 47.2% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 40.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 10.2 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 26.4 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.8% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 15.8 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 19.0
Free Throw % 76.0% 77.4%
Ball Control NEB IOWA
Rebounds 36.9 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 10.2
Turnovers 10.0 8.6
Blocked Shots 2.3 4.3
Steals 5.3 5.6
Fouls 13.9 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Nebraska

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEB IOWA
Total Possessions 74.1
Effective Scoring Chances 73.5 75.7
% of Possessions with NEB IOWA
2 Point Attempt 41.0% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 27.3%
Player Fouled 18.7% 18.8%
Turnover 13.4% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEB IOWA
Shot Blocked 6.7% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 27.0%