NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEB IND
Points 74.8 71.7
Total Points   146.5
Points From 2-Pointers 29.1 40.6
Points From 3-Pointers 31.3 19.0
Points From Free Throws 14.4 12.0
Shooting NEB IND
Field Goals Made 25.0 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 59.7
Field Goal % 40.8% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.5 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 31.1 39.7
2 Point Shooting % 46.8% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 10.4 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 30.2 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 31.8%
Free Throws Made 14.4 12.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 18.3
Free Throw % 76.0% 65.9%
Ball Control NEB IND
Rebounds 36.1 39.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 10.1
Turnovers 9.0 10.6
Blocked Shots 2.1 4.0
Steals 6.6 4.6
Fouls 14.4 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Nebraska

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEB IND
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 72.3 71.3
% of Possessions with NEB IND
2 Point Attempt 37.4% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 36.4% 24.2%
Player Fouled 19.2% 20.1%
Turnover 12.6% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEB IND
Shot Blocked 6.8% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 27.5%